5th February 2013
Westminster
Political Polling
Date Published: 
Fri, 15/02/2013 - 09:38
Labour are on 39%, 10 points ahead of the Conservatives on 29%. UKIP and the Lib Dems remain in 3rd and 4th place respectively with 14% and 8%.
  • The Conservatives have gained 1 point on their position two weeks ago taking them to 29%
  • Labour have seen their share of the vote fall 2 points to 39%, which reduced their lead over the Conservatives to 10%. Last month Labour had a 13 point
    lead
  • Neither the Liberal Democrats and UKIP have changed their position from the previous poll; they are flat on 8% and 14% respectively
  • The proportion of people saying they will vote for some other party (including UKIP) has risen by a single point to 24%
  • David Cameron has continued to see a drop in his net approval rating which is now -21%. This is down from -19% in the last poll and -14% before that. 31% approve of his performance, down from 33% two weeks ago. 52% disapprove, unchanged from the previous poll
  • Ed Miliband’s net approval rating has dropped 4 points from -15% to -19%. 43% disapprove while 26% approve of how he is doing his job as Leader of the Opposition
  • Nick Clegg’s approval is up one point on 14% but his disapproval has increased to 63%, giving him a net rating of -49%

Topline Voting Intention

  % Change
Conservative 29 +1
Labour 39 -2
Liberal Democrats 8 n/c
Other parties 24 +1

Other Parties (breakdown)

  % Change
UKIP 14 n/c
Green 4 +1
SNP 3 n/c
BNP 2 n/c
Plaid Cymru 0 -1
Other 1 n/c

Approval ratings

  % Approve % Disapprove Net rating Net rating (own party)
David Cameron 31% 52% -21% +76%
Ed Miliband 24% 43% -19% +41%
Nick Clegg 14% 63% -49% +51%

Voting Intention Tracker

Voting Intention Tracker inc. UKIP

Notes to Journalists: 

Opinium Research carried out an online survey of 1,953 GB adults aged 18+ from 5th to 7th February 2013. Results have been weighted to nationally representative criteria.

Additional Info: 

Interview Method and Sample

This survey is conducted online by CAWI (computer aided web interviewing), using Opinium’s online research panel of circa 30,000 individuals. This research is run from a representative sample of GB adults (aged 18+ in England, Scotland and Wales). The sample is scientifically defined from pre-collected registration data containing gender, age (18-34, 35-54, and 55+), region (North East, North West, Yorkshire and Humberside, East Midlands, West Midlands, East of England, London, South East, South West, Wales, and Scotland), working status and social grade to match the latest published ONS figures.

Opinium also takes into account differential response rates from the different demographic groups, to ensure the sample is representative.

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