21st February 2012
Westminster
Voting Intention
Date Published: 
Fri, 24/02/2012 - 10:27
Cameron's post-veto bounce disappears as Labour take a 4 point lead.
    The Conservatives' post-veto bounce seems to have disappeared as the party dips to 35% and Labour jump ahead to 39%
  • This is the first clear Labour lead in an Opinium survey since early December
  • The Lib Dems hold steady at 10% while Others are on 19%
  • Prime Minister David Cameron's approval rating also dips slightly (-5% net approval compared to -1% two weeks ago) while Labour Leader Ed Miliband sees a slight improvement (-26% net approval compared to -31% two weeks ago)
  • Lib Dem Leader Nick Clegg has slipped to his worse rating yet with a net approval rating of -42% compared to -37% two weeks ago. This is the lowest he has ever recorded in an Opinium survey with only 15% of likely voters approving of his job performance and 57% disapproving

Topline Voting Intention

  % Change
Conservative 35 -1
Labour 39 +3
Liberal Democrats 10 n/c
Other parties 19 +1

Other Parties (breakdown)

  % Change
UKIP 6 -1
Green 5 +1
SNP 4 n/c
BNP 1 -1
Plaid Cymru 1 n/c
Other 0 -1

Voting Intention Tracker

Notes to Journalists: 

Opinium Research carried out an online survey of 1,959 GB adults aged 18+ from 21st to 23rd February 2012. Results have been weighted to nationally representative criteria.

Additional Info: 

Interview Method and Sample

This survey is conducted online by CAWI (computer aided web interviewing), using Opinium’s online research panel of circa 30,000 individuals. This research is run from a representative sample of GB adults (aged 18+ in England, Scotland and Wales). The sample is scientifically defined from pre-collected registration data containing gender, age (18-34, 35-54, and 55+), region (North East, North West, Yorkshire and Humberside, East Midlands, West Midlands, East of England, London, South East, South West, Wales, and Scotland), working status and social grade to match the latest published ONS figures.

Opinium also takes into account differential response rates from the different demographic groups, to ensure the sample is representative.

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